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Grain Report Thursday - 21st December

Market Almost Open - CGX daily report

What price do you want for your grain?

Overnight moves in international markets and yesterday's actual traded prices across Australia are below to help you determine your price. If you need to change your offer price, simply edit it before market open.

Chart including Wheat CBOT prices, Wheat Black Sea prices, Canola ICE prices and Canola MATIF prices

Grain trade prices for Australia Grain (wheat, barley, Sorghum, Lupins, Canola, Faba Beans, Oats, Chickpeas and lentils)

Dominic Hogan Outlook commodities comments

Look Out!

  • Markets off last night.

  • The big sell off was on the ASX Jan wheat contract, off AUD $6 per tonne to AUD $378.

  • This works back to a USD $289 FOB equivalent Portland which would be the cheapest delivery point for ASX paper.

  • The site bids in the Portland Zone are also pitched at the AUD $375 track level.

  • The Aussie dollar is also up 2 cents since last week.

  • So last week, a world export value of USD $290 would have worked back to a AUD $390 track.

  • Today, due to currency alone, it's off AUD $15 per tonne.

  • A rising Aussie dollar is only good for overseas holidays and cheaper products in the 2-dollar shops.

  • I think we should poach the Argie President Milie Cyrus to come and have a look at our economy.

  • Now before we all go and throw the baby out with the Landcruiser and new chaser bin, ASW in WA is trading at AUD $400 FIS, or USD $290 FOB.

  • WA is the export barometer. They have a 7 million tonne crop, with a smaller domestic market.

  • So CBH is buying ASW for USD $290 FOB and selling it to the world.

  • In Vic, with a smaller crop to export and a larger domestic market to feed, the buyer's bid for ASW is AUD $335 Track or USD $260 FOB equivalent.

  • Even SA ASW is trading at a premium of AUD $35 to Vic ASW.

  • Are we stupid on the East Coast? Why would we drop our pants by USD $25 under export parity?

  • And if someone says world demand is dead, then the prices ex WA blows that argument out of the water.

  • Any chance CBH can reopen their office on the East Coast and start exporting Aussie wheat.

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