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Grain Report Monday - 29th May

Market almost open - CGX daily report

What price do you want for your grain?

Overnight moves in international markets and yesterday's actual traded prices across Australia are below to help you determine your price. If you need to change your offer price, simply edit it before market open.

Chart including Wheat CBOT prices, Wheat Black Sea prices, Canola ICE prices and Canola MATIF prices

Grain trade prices for Australia Grain (wheat, barley, Sorghum, Lupins, Canola, Faba Beans, Oats, Chickpeas and lentils)

Look Out!

  • Markets were all shook up like a minor earthquake near my home last night.

  • It was only a 4.5 on the richter scale but felt like a 6.5.

  • Like the weather forecast I think they should do a “feels” like for earthquakes.

  • It has been dry in the US corn belt, but with that crop in the final stages of planting, agronomists are not overly concerned (yet).

  • I mentioned last week about the forecast for diesel prices, with increased refining and Chinese exports, causing a bearish outlook and the potential impact this may have on domestic market prices.

  • If you don’t sell all your grain via the CGX exchange and do sell forward into delivered markets, then this is something you should keep in the back of your mind.

  • Track prices (your site price) will be roughly the same irrespective of diesel prices, as they are based on location differentials set by Grain Trade Australia.

  • But what has happened since the Black Sea invasion, and higher diesel prices, greater transport demand with a bumper crop, the conversion from Track Markets to Domestic markets has increased due to freight.

  • Our prices are determined by world prices and the level of surplus versus export capacity, and where we trade to export and import parity. With a 39 million tonne crop, and a surplus greater than export capacity in some states, prices are under export parity. As the surplus supply to domestic demand reduces, the local market must work harder to stop grain leaving in boats, hence we go to above export parity, or all our cows and chooks die.

  • So, there you have it!

  • It makes things interesting for a domestic consumer buying new crop forward, and it should also be taken into consideration as a grower / trader considering selling forward into a delivered market, but only if you manage your own freight.

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